How the Election Unfolded

A wave of disillusionment and anger — wide and by all appearances intensely felt — secured the presidency Tuesday for Donald Trump.

 A wave of disillusionment and anger — wide and by all appearances intensely felt — secured the presidency Tuesday for Donald Trump. He won by turning out victories in a wide swath of the United States, a base of support broad enough to secure him a strong majority in the Electoral College even though he lost the popular vote.

Republican Red

Democrat  Blue

 Source: Associated Press, as of 4:30pm EST, Note: Alaska does not report county-level results.

TRUMP WON THE ELECTION BECAUSE:

Republican growth

He benefited from an eight-year shift toward the Republican Party. Comparing the margin of victory to the 2012 election, we can see that Trump outperformed Mitt Romney heavily in large portions of the country. The places where Hillary Clinton improved on President Obama’s 2012 numbers, while often populous, were insufficient to give her the votes to clinch victory in battleground states.

Looking back even further, compared to the 2008 election, this trend is even more pronounced, as many counties, even traditionally liberal ones, have moved significantly to the right over the past 8 years. This map shows how Trump improved on John McCain’s margins in 2008.

Source: Associated Press, as of 4:30pm EST, Note: Alaska does not report county-level results.

Rust Belt connection

Trump connected with voters in key portions of the Rust Belt which was the location of four key states that would be won or lost by thin margins: Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

 Source: Associated Press, as of 4:30pm EST, Note: Alaska does not report county-level results.

Manufacturing counties

Republican support in counties with the highest percent of the working population in manufacturing jobs.

And areas with large decreases in unemployment

Republican support in counties with the largest decreases in unemployed popula- tion rates from 2010 to 2014.

CLINTON LOST THE ELECTION BECAUSE:

Lower turnout in predominantly black areas and Democratic bastions

Percent change in voter turnoutSource: Associated Press, as of 4:30pm EST, Note: Alaska does not report county-level results.

Fewer Hispanics supported Clinton

Percentage of Hispanic voter support going to Democratic presidential candidates:

The education gap

Exit polls revealed a nation deeply divided. Men and those without a college education went strongly for Trump. Women and those who had a degree backed Clinton.

EXIT POLLS

What drove their votes

It wasn’t the economy that drove voters’ decision this year. Instead, it was distaste — and often anger — at the way the fed- eral government is doing its job, and a deep sense that the USA is headed in the wrong direction. That was enough for voters to throw their support behind a first-time candidate who many of his sup- porters said they did not like or trust, or who they judged unfit to hold the office.

About annetbell

I am a retired elementary teacher, well seasoned world traveler,new blogger, grandmother, and a new enthusiastic discoverer of the wonderfully complex country of India. Anne
This entry was posted in Uncategorized, USA and tagged , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

12 Responses to How the Election Unfolded

  1. GP Cox says:

    Excellent facts put out here, Anne. Great job!

  2. kunstkitchen says:

    Thanks for the breakdown of the stats.

  3. Shauny says:

    Trump is a fool, he speaks and doesn’t care who he harms…
    Good luck America…Thankfully he is banned from Scotland.. 😀
    Guys an idiot. But Clinton would have kept paying Israel..Trump will stop funing Israel and other Countries to the tune of £1B a day….. I hope Trump uses this extra money for free Healthcare and Free education. In my culture ALL Education and Healthcare is free, be you rich or poor. We pay our kids to stay on at School when they get to 16 years old, even people as old as 70 years old are paid if they want to go back to education. I could not imagine living in a nation where my biggest worry was “Can I afford my Health bills”….
    But like I say, THANK THE LORD I live in Scotland….
    If Trump works for the USA, I think I speak for the rest of our species, all 95% of them when I say “Deal with American problems and help American people”
    America is HATED why? Because your Government cause Wars and deaths all over Earth.
    Paying to fund ISIS is factual, Trump said it himself. ISIS won’t protect Israel now…
    Shame..

    For the love of ALL THINGS GOOD…People need to see this Anne..

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